The Economy?s Influence onVoters? Gubernatorial Choice

Abstract

This study looks specifically at the 1994 and 1998 gubernatorial elections and tries to break down the components that voters consider when choosing a governor. First, the governor?s role in state and national politics is analyzed along with the similarities and differences of the position from that of the president. Next, past studies on voters? gubernatorial choice are considered, separating the different variables used and also examining the multiple models employed to view the data. After detailed inspection of the different aspects to take into account when looking at the economy and governor elections, a unique model is created that is thought to best capture the economy?s influence. The findings show that 1994 elections more so than 1998 elections are influenced by the economy. Specifically influencing voters? gubernatorial choice are per capita personal income and prospective personal finances. Finally, interpretation of the results and recommendations for future studies are presented.